The Finance Minister of Delhi, Mr. Manish Sisodia, presented the Budget for the financial year 2021-22 on March 9, 2021. Note that due to the impact of COVID-19, 2020-21 was not a standard year with respect to the performance of the economy and government finances. In this note, the 2021-22 budget estimates have been compared to the actuals for 2019-20 (in terms of compounded annual growth rate or CAGR). A comparison of the revised estimates for 2020-21 and budget estimates for 2021-22 has been provided in the Annexure.
Budget Highlights
- The Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) of Delhi in 2020-21 (at current prices) is projected to be Rs 7,98,310 crore. This is 4% lower than the GSDP for 2019-20 (Rs 8,30,872 crore).
- Total expenditure for 2021-22 is estimated to be Rs 69,000 crore, a 16% annual increase over 2019-20. The revised expenditure for 2020-21 is Rs 59,000 crore, which is 9% lower than the budgeted estimate.
- Total receipts (excluding borrowings) for 2021-22 are estimated to be Rs 54,070 crore, an annual increase of 6% over 2019-20. In 2020-21, total receipts (excluding borrowings) are estimated to fall short of the budget estimate by Rs 13,165 crore (23%), primarily due to a 34% shortfall in tax revenue.
- Fiscal deficit for the year 2021-22 is targeted at Rs 10,665 crore. In 2020-21, the revised figures estimate a fiscal deficit of Rs 12,491 crore, as compared to the budgeted estimate of Rs 5,080 crore. The budget estimates a revenue surplus of Rs 1,271 crore in 2021-22.
- Sectors such as Transport (40%), Health and Family Welfare (32%), and Education, Sports, Arts and Culture (15%) saw an annual increase in allocation, compared to the actual expenditure in 2019-20.
Policy Highlights
- Health: The government proposes to provide COVID-19 vaccine free of cost to the people of Delhi across government hospitals. Further, a health card will be issued to all the citizens of Delhi, which is proposed to be used through an online Health Information Management System.
- Education: The school curriculum for classes nursery to 8 will be revised, with a focus on personality development of children. There will be one class daily on patriotism for all children in government schools. 100 schools of excellence will be opened for grades 9 to 12 in different parts of Delhi.
- Tourism: The government has proposed two new schemes, namely Delhi Heritage Promotion and Delhi Tourism Circuit. To ensure safety of women at tourist spots, CCTV cameras at entry points of all tourist spots, lighting up of dark spots, and facility of mobile vans at various tourist sites will be provided.
Delhi's Economy
|
Figure 1: Growth in GSDP and sectors in Delhi at constant prices (2011-12)
Note: The figures for agriculture includes that of mining and quarrying. These numbers are as per constant prices (2011-12) which implies that the growth rate is adjusted for inflation. Sources: Delhi Economic Survey 2020-21; PRS. |
Budget Estimates for 2021-22
- Total expenditure in 2021-22 is targeted at Rs 69,000 crore. This is an annual increase of 16% over the actual expenditure in 2019-20. This expenditure is proposed to be met through receipts (other than borrowings) of Rs 54,070 crore and borrowings of Rs 9,285 crore. Total receipts for 2021-22 (other than borrowings) are expected to register an annual increase of 6% over 2019-20.
- As per the revised estimates for 2020-21, receipts (other than borrowings) are estimated to reduce by 23% over the budget estimates. In 2020-21, total expenditure is estimated to decrease by 9% from the budget to revised stage. In 2020-21, borrowings are estimated to increase by 261% from the budget to revised stage.
- Revenue deficit is the excess of revenue expenditure over revenue receipts. A revenue deficit implies that the government needs to borrow to finance its expenses which do not increase its assets or reduce its liabilities. The budget estimates a revenue surplus of Rs 1,271 crore in 2021-22. In 2020-21, revenue deficit is estimated to be Rs 3,770 crore at the revised stage as compared to a target of revenue surplus of Rs 7,239 crore at the budget stage (a decrease of 152%).
- Fiscal deficit is the excess of total expenditure over total receipts. This gap is filled by borrowings which leads to an increase in total liabilities. Fiscal deficit for 2021-22 is estimated to be Rs 10,665 crore. In 2020-21, fiscal deficit has increased by 146% from the budget to the revised stage.
Table 1: Budget 2021-22 - Key figures (in Rs crore)
Items |
2019-20 Actuals |
2020-21 Budgeted |
2020-21 Revised |
% change from BE 2020-21 to RE 2020-21 |
2021-22 Budgeted |
Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE) |
Total Expenditure |
51,186 |
65,000 |
59,000 |
-9% |
69,000 |
16% |
A. Receipts (except borrowings) |
47,958 |
56,409 |
43,244 |
-23% |
54,070 |
6% |
B. Borrowings |
4,766 |
4,291 |
15,500 |
261% |
9,285 |
40% |
Total Receipts (A+B) |
52,724 |
60,700 |
58,744 |
-3% |
63,355 |
10% |
Revenue Balance |
7,499 |
7,239 |
-3,770 |
-152% |
1,271 |
-59% |
As % of GSDP |
0.90% |
- |
-0.47% |
|
- |
|
Fiscal Balance |
-417 |
-5,080 |
-12,491 |
146% |
-10,665 |
406% |
As % of GSDP |
-0.05% |
- |
-1.56% |
|
- |
|
Primary Balance |
2,335 |
-2,018 |
-9,617 |
-377% |
-7,331 |
- |
As % of GSDP |
0.28% |
- |
-1.20% |
|
- |
|
Note: GSDP is not available for 2020-21 BE and 2021-22 BE. BE is Budget Estimate; RE is Revised Estimate. For revenue balance, fiscal balance, and primary balance, positive numbers indicate surplus, negative indicate deficit.
Sources: Delhi Budget Documents 2021-22; Delhi Economic Survey 2020; PRS.
Expenditure in 2021-22
- Capital expenditure for 2021-22 is proposed to be Rs 17,201 crore, which is an annual increase of 22% over the actual expenditure in 2019-20. Capital expenditure includes expenditure affecting the assets and liabilities of the state, such as: (i) capital outlay, i.e., expenditure which leads to creation of assets (such as bridges and hospitals), and (ii) repayment and grant of loans by the state government.
Grants-in-aid to local bodies In 2021-22, the state government proposes to provide Rs 3,764 crore as compensation to local bodies (5% of the total expenditure). In 2020-21, the revised estimate for compensation to local bodies is Rs 3,269 crore, 18% lower than the budget estimate. |
- In 2021-22, capital outlay is estimated to be Rs 10,557 crore, a 39% annual increase over 2019-20. The revised estimate of capital outlay for 2020-21 is 46% lower than the budget estimate.
- Revenue expenditure for 2021-22 is proposed to be Rs 51,799 crore, an annual increase of 14% over 2019-20. This expenditure includes the payment of salaries, pensions, and interest.
Table 2: Expenditure budget 2021-22 (in Rs crore)
Items |
2019-20 Actuals |
2020-21 Budgeted |
2020-21 Revised |
% change from BE 2020-21 to RE 2020-21 |
2021-22 Budgeted |
Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE) |
Capital Expenditure |
11,549 |
16,930 |
12,785 |
-24% |
17,201 |
22% |
of which Capital Outlay |
5,472 |
9,999 |
5,415 |
-46% |
10,557 |
39% |
Revenue Expenditure |
39,637 |
48,070 |
46,215 |
-4% |
51,799 |
14% |
Total Expenditure |
51,186 |
65,000 |
59,000 |
-9% |
69,000 |
16% |
A. Debt Repayment |
2,811 |
3,511 |
3,265 |
-7% |
4,265 |
23% |
B. Interest Payments |
2,752 |
3,062 |
2,874 |
-6% |
3,334 |
10% |
Debt Servicing (A+B) |
5,563 |
6,573 |
6,139 |
-7% |
7,599 |
17% |
Note: BE is Budget Estimate; RE is Revised Estimate. Capital outlay denotes expenditure which leads to the creation of assets.
Sources: Delhi Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.
Sectoral expenditure in 2021-22
The sectors listed below account for 75% of the total expenditure on all sectors by the state in 2021-22. A comparison of Delhi’s expenditure on key sectors with that by the other states is given in Annexure 1.
Table 3: Sector-wise expenditure under Delhi Budget 2021-22 (in Rs crore)
Sector |
2019-20 Actuals |
2020-21 BE |
2020-21 RE |
2021-22 BE |
Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE) |
Budget provisions 2021-22 |
|
Education, Sports, Arts, and Culture |
11,819 |
15,092 |
12,104 |
15,707 |
15% |
|
|
Health and Family Welfare |
5,745 |
7,704 |
7,443 |
9,934 |
32% |
|
|
Transport |
4,540 |
7,344 |
6,245 |
8,944 |
40% |
|
|
Social Welfare and Nutrition |
3,257 |
3,854 |
4,784 |
4,144 |
13% |
|
|
Energy |
2,427 |
2,887 |
3,038 |
3,225 |
15% |
|
|
Urban Development |
2,674 |
3,325 |
2,528 |
3,083 |
7% |
|
|
Water Supply and Sanitation |
1,415 |
1,920 |
1,892 |
1,631 |
7% |
|
|
% of total expenditure on all sectors |
71% |
73% |
74% |
75% |
|
Sources: Delhi Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.
Receipts in 2021-22
- Total revenue receipts for 2021-22 are estimated to be Rs 53,070 crore, an annual increase of 6% over 2019-20. Of this, Rs 44,000 crore (83% of the revenue receipts) will be raised by the state through its own resources, and Rs 9,070 crore (17% of the revenue receipts) will be in the form of grants-in aid from the central government.
- Central Grants: In 2021-22, revenue in the form of grants-in-aid from the centre is estimated to be Rs 9,070 crore, an annual decrease of 2% over 2019-20. As per the revised estimate of 2020-21, grants-in-aid are estimated to be 15% (or Rs 1,535 crore) higher than the year’s budget estimate.
- State’s own tax and non-tax revenue: Total own tax revenue of Delhi is estimated to be Rs 43,000 crore in 2021-22, an annual increase of 8% over 2019-20. In 2020-21, as per the revised estimate, state’s own tax revenue is estimated to be 34% lower than the budget estimate. Further, in 2020-21, Delhi’s own non-tax revenue (as per the revised estimate) is estimated to be 50% higher than the budget estimate. This can be attributed to an increase in interest receipts, and fines and penalties, among others.
Table 4: Break-up of the state government’s receipts (in Rs crore)
Items |
2019-20 Actuals |
2020-21 BE |
2020-21 RE |
% change from BE 2020-21 to RE 2020-21 |
2021-22 BE |
Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE) |
State's Own Tax |
36,566 |
44,100 |
29,300 |
-34% |
43,000 |
8% |
State's Own Non-Tax |
1,097 |
800 |
1,200 |
50% |
1,000 |
-5% |
Grants-in-aid from Centre |
9,473 |
10,409 |
11,944 |
15% |
9,070 |
-2% |
Total Revenue Receipts |
47,136 |
55,309 |
42,444 |
-23% |
53,070 |
6% |
Borrowings |
4,766 |
4,291 |
15,500 |
261% |
9,285 |
40% |
Other receipts |
823 |
1,100 |
800 |
-27% |
1,000 |
10% |
Total Capital Receipts |
5,588 |
5,391 |
16,300 |
202% |
10,285 |
36% |
Total Receipts |
52,724 |
60,700 |
58,744 |
-3% |
63,355 |
10% |
Note: BE is Budget Estimate; RE is Revised Estimate.
GST Compensation The GST (Compensation to States) Act, 2017 guarantees states compensation for five years (till 2022) for any revenue loss arising due to GST implementation. The Act guarantees states a 14% annual growth in their GST revenue, failing which compensation grants are provided to states to meet the shortfall. These grants are funded through the GST compensation cess levied by the centre. As the cess collection is not sufficient to meet the compensation requirement of states in 2020-21, a part of their requirement will be met through loans from the centre (which will be repaid using future cess collection). Delhi has estimated to receive a total of Rs 6,000 crore in the form of GST compensation grants in 2021-22, which is an annual decrease of 10% over the grants in 2019-20. In 2020-21, compensation receipts of Delhi are estimated to increase by 41% from Rs 7,800 crore at the budgeted stage to Rs 11,000 crore (including Rs 5,000 crore as grants and Rs 6,000 crore as loans) at the revised stage. |
Sources: Delhi Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.
- In 2021-22, State Goods and Services Tax (SGST) is estimated to be the largest source of the state’s own tax revenue (55%). SGST in 2021-22 is estimated at Rs 23,800 crore, which is an annual increase of 11% over 2019-20. In 2020-21, SGST is estimated to be 31% lower than the budget estimate.
- In 2021-22, Delhi is expected to generate Rs 6,200 crore through the collection of Sales Tax and VAT, an annual increase of 6% over 2019-20. In 2020-21, the Sales Tax and VAT collection is estimated to decrease by 42% over the budget estimate.
Table 5: Major sources of state’s own tax revenue (in Rs crore)
Head |
2019-20 Actuals |
2020-21 BE |
2020-21 RE |
% change from BE 2020-21 to RE 2020-21 |
2021-22 BE |
Annualised Change (2019-20 to 2021-22 BE) |
% of Revenue Receipts in 2021-22 |
State's own tax revenue |
36,566 |
44,100 |
29,300 |
-34% |
43,000 |
8% |
81% |
State GST (SGST) |
19,465 |
23,800 |
16,386 |
-31% |
23,800 |
11% |
45% |
Sales Tax/ VAT |
5,475 |
6,200 |
3,614 |
-42% |
6,200 |
6% |
12% |
State Excise |
5,068 |
6,300 |
4,499 |
-29% |
6,000 |
9% |
11% |
Stamps Duty and Registration Fees |
4,606 |
5,297 |
3,297 |
-38% |
4,997 |
4% |
9% |
Taxes on Vehicles |
1,948 |
2,500 |
1,500 |
-40% |
2,000 |
1% |
4% |
GST Compensation Grants |
7,436 |
7,800 |
5,000 |
-36% |
6,000 |
-10% |
11% |
GST Compensation Loans |
- |
- |
6,000 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Sources: Delhi Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.
Annexure 1: Comparison of states’ expenditure on key sectors
The graphs below compare Delhi’s expenditure on six key sectors as a proportion of its total expenditure on all sectors (i.e., a sum of revenue expenditure and capital outlay for that sector). The average indicates the average expenditure in that sector by 30 states (including Delhi) as per their 2020-21 budget estimates. As agriculture contributes 3% to Delhi’s economy and less than 3% of its population is rural, spending on agriculture and rural development is only 1% of total spending.[1] Further, as Delhi is the national capital, some expenditure on urban development and police is also made by the centre. This allows Delhi to allocate more funds to other sectors.
- Education: Delhi has allocated 25.2% of its total expenditure for education in 2021-22. This is significantly higher than the average allocation (15.8%) for education by all states (2020-21 BE).
- Health: Delhi has allocated 15.9% of its total expenditure on health, which is almost three times higher than the average allocation for health by states (5.5%).
- Water supply and sanitation: The state has allocated 2.6% of its total expenditure towards water supply and sanitation. This is slightly higher than the average allocation for water and sanitation by states (2.4%).
- Urban development: Delhi has allocated 4.9% of its expenditure on urban development. This is higher than the average allocation for urban development by states (3.8%).
- Energy: Delhi has allocated 5.2% of its total expenditure on energy, which is higher than the average expenditure on energy by states (4.2%).
- Roads and bridges: Delhi has allocated 4.1% of its total expenditure on roads and bridges, which is slightly lower than the average allocation by states (4.3%).
Note: 2019-20, 2020-21 (BE), 2020-21 (RE), and 2021-22 (BE) figures are for Delhi.
Sources: Delhi Budget Documents 2021-22; various state budgets; PRS.
Annexure 2: Comparison of 2020-21 Revised and 2021-22 Budget Estimates
The following tables compare the budget estimates for 2021-22 with the revised estimates for 2020-21.
Table 6: Taxes devolved to states as per Union Budget 2021-22
Particular |
2020-21 RE |
2021-22 BE |
% change from 2020-21 RE to 2021-22 BE |
Receipts (1+2) |
58,744 |
63,355 |
8% |
Receipts except Borrowings |
43,244 |
54,070 |
25% |
1. Revenue Receipts (a+b+c+d) |
42,444 |
53,070 |
25% |
a. Own Tax Revenue |
29,300 |
43,000 |
47% |
b. Own Non-Tax Revenue |
1,200 |
1,000 |
-17% |
c. Grants-in-aid from the Centre |
11,944 |
9,070 |
-24% |
Of which GST compensation |
5,000 |
6,000 |
20% |
2. Capital Receipts |
16,300 |
10,285 |
-37% |
a. Borrowings |
15,500 |
9,285 |
-40% |
Of which GST compensation loan |
6,000 |
- |
- |
Expenditure (3+4) |
59,000 |
69,000 |
17% |
3. Revenue Expenditure |
46,215 |
51,799 |
12% |
4. Capital Expenditure |
12,785 |
17,201 |
35% |
i. Capital Outlay |
5,415 |
10,557 |
95% |
ii. Debt Repayment |
3,265 |
4,265 |
31% |
Revenue Balance |
3,770 |
-1,271 |
-134% |
Fiscal Balance |
-12,491 |
-10,665 |
15% |
Note: Negative value indicates deficit, positive indicates surplus.
Sources: Delhi Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.
Table 7: Key Components of State’s Own Tax Revenue
Tax |
2020-21 RE |
2021-22 BE |
% change from 2020-21 RE to 2021-22 BE |
SGST |
16,386 |
23,800 |
45% |
Sales Tax/VAT |
3,614 |
6,200 |
72% |
State Excise Duty |
4,499 |
6,000 |
33% |
Stamps Duty and Registration Fees |
3,297 |
4,997 |
52% |
Taxes on Vehicles |
1,500 |
2,000 |
33% |
Sources: Delhi Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.
Table 8: Allocation towards Key Sectors
Sector |
2020-21 RE |
2021-22 BE |
% change from 2020-21 RE to 2021-22 BE |
Education, Sports, Arts, and Culture |
12,104 |
15,707 |
30% |
Health and Family Welfare |
7,443 |
9,934 |
33% |
Transport |
6,245 |
8,944 |
43% |
of which Roads and Bridges |
1,442 |
2,555 |
77% |
Social Welfare and Nutrition |
4,784 |
4,144 |
-13% |
Energy |
3,038 |
3,225 |
6% |
Urban Development |
2,528 |
3,083 |
22% |
Water Supply and Sanitation |
1,892 |
1,631 |
-14% |
Irrigation and Flood Control |
391 |
798 |
104% |
Welfare of SC, ST, OBC, and Minorities |
278 |
470 |
69% |
Agriculture and allied activities |
262 |
355 |
35% |
Rural Development |
72 |
334 |
361% |
Housing |
126 |
177 |
41% |
Police |
351 |
118 |
-66% |
Sources: Delhi Budget Documents 2021-22; PRS.
[1] Economic Survey, 2019-20, http://delhiplanning.nic.in/sites/default/files/Chapter%2010_0.pdf.
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